WikiDer > 2010 yilgi Avstraliya federal saylovi uchun saylovdan keyingi sarkaç

Post-election pendulum for the 2010 Australian federal election
Shuningdek qarang: Avstraliya federal saylovi, 2010 yil
Shuningdek qarang: Vakillar palatasi 2010 yilgi Avstraliya federal saylovi natijalari
Shuningdek qarang: 2010 yilgi Avstraliya federal saylovi bo'yicha Senat natijalari
Shuningdek qarang: Avstraliya Vakillar palatasi a'zolari, 2010–2013
Shuningdek qarang: Avstraliya federal saylovlari uchun saylovoldi sarkacasi, 2013 yil

Quyidagi sarkaç Mackerras mayatniktomonidan ixtiro qilingan psixolog Malkom Makerras. Natijasi uchun mo'ljallangan 2010 yilgi federal saylov, mayatnik, 72-sonli parlamentdagi barcha o'rindiqlarni bir qatorga qo'yish orqali ishlaydi Mehnat, 72 Koalitsiya, 1 Vatandoshlar, 1 Yashil va 4 mustaqil, ga ko'ra foiz punkti margin a ikki nomzod afzal asos.[1] Ikki tomonning natijasi, shuningdek, sifatida tanilgan belanchak qo'lning o'zgarishi uchun o'rindiq uchun talab qilinadi. Saylovda muxolifat yoki hukumat partiyalariga bir xil tebranishni hisobga olgan holda, qo'llarni almashtiradigan o'rindiqlar sonini taxmin qilish mumkin. Sallanmak hech qachon bir hil bo'lmaydi, lekin amalda Avstraliya shtatlari o'rtasida tebranish turlarining o'zgarishi odatda bir-birini bekor qilishga moyildir. O'rindiqlar xavfsizlikka muvofiq toifalarda joylashtirilgan Avstraliya saylov komissiyasiXavfsizlikning tasnifi. "Xavfsiz" o'rindiqlar o'zgarishi uchun 10 foizdan oshiq tebranish talab etiladi, "juda xavfsiz" o'rindiqlar 6 foizdan 10 foizgacha, "chekka" o'rindiqlar esa 6 foizdan kamroq burilishni talab qiladi.[2]

HOKIMIY O'RINLAR
Marginal
Korangamit (Vik)Darren CheesemanALP50.41
Grinvay (NSW)Mishel RoulendALP50.88
La Trobe (Vik)Laura SmitALP50.91
Robertson (NSW)Debora O'NilALP51.00
Lindsi (NSW)Devid BredberiALP51.12
Moreton (Qld)Grem PerretALP51.13
Banklar (NSW)Daril MelxemALP51.45
Deakin (Vik)Mayk SaymonALP52.41
Petri (Qld)Yvette D'AthALP52.51
Reid (NSW)Jon MerfiALP52.68
Lilley (Qld)Ueyn SvanALP53.18
Brend (WA)Gari GreyALP53.33
Uloqcha (Qld)Kirsten LivermorALP53.68
Lingiari (NT)Uorren SnoudonALP53.70
Sahifa (NSW)Janelle SaffinALP54.19
Grayndler (NSW)Entoni AlbanesALP54,23 v GRN
Eden-Monaro (NSW)Mayk KelliALP54.24
Bler (Qld)Shayne NeumannALP54.24
Parramatta (NSW)Julie OuensALP54.37
Dobell (NSW)Kreyg TomsonALP55.07
Kingsford Smit (NSW)Piter GarretALP55.16
Makeven (Vik)Rob MitchellALP55.32
Rankin (Qld)Kreyg EmersonALP55.41
Hindmarsh (SA)Stiv GeorganasALP55.70
Fremantle (VA)Melissa ParkeALP55.70
Oksley (Qld)Berni RipollALP55.77
Pert (VA)Stiven SmitALP55.88
Juda xavfsiz
Chisholm (Vik)Anna BurkeALP56.11
Bass (tas)Geoff LyonsALP56.74
Verriva (NSW)Lauri FergyusonALP56.75
Barton (NSW)Robert MakklellandALP56.86
Richmond (NSW)Jyustin ElliotALP56.99
Breddon (Tas)Sid yonboshiALP57.48
Melburn portlari (Vik)Maykl DanbiALP57.56
Adelaida (SA)Keyt EllisALP57.69
McMahon (NSW)Kris BouenALP57.81
Betmen (Vik)Martin FergyusonALP57,86 v GRN
Bryus (Vik)Alan GriffinALP58.12
Griffit (Qld)Kevin RudALP58.46
Fowler (NSW)Kris XeysALP58.76
Vatson (NSW)Toni BurkALP59.14
Kanberra (ACT)Gai BrodtmannALP59.15
Bendigo (Vik)Stiv GibbonsALP59.53
Xavfsiz
Franklin (Tas)Julie KollinzALP60.82
Ayzaks (Vik)Mark DreyfusALP61.02
Jagajaga (Vik)Jenni MaklinALP61.52
Ballarat (Vik)Ketrin KingALP61.70
Ueykfild (SA)Nik chempioniALP61.95
Trossbi (NSW)Stiven JonsALP62.11
Makin (SA)Toni ZappiyaALP62.20
Blaxlend (NSW)Jeyson KlerALP62.23
Lyons (Tas)Dik AdamsALP62.29
Chifley (NSW)Ed XusichALP62.34
Ovchi (NSW)Djoel FitsgibbonALP62.48
Nyukasl (NSW)Sharon GriersonALP62.49
Charlton (NSW)Greg KombetALP62.67
Shotland (NSW)Jil XollALP62.85
Kanningxem (NSW)Sharon BirdALP63.17
Xolt (Vik)Entoni ByornALP63.23
Xotem (Vik)Simon KrinALP63.50
Kingston (SA)Amanda RishvortALP63.91
Freyzer (ACT)Endryu LeyALP64.20
Corio (Vik)Richard MarlesALP64.22
Maribyrnong (Vik)Bill qisqartirishALP66.86
Sidney (NSW)Tanya PlibersekALP67.07
Kelluell (Vik)Mariya VamvakinouALP69.72
Juda xavfsiz
Port Adelaida (SA)Mark ButlerALP70.03
Lalor (Vik)Julia GillardALP72.15
Gorton (Vik)Brendan O'KonnorALP72.16
Skullin (Vik)Garri JenkinsALP72.25
Vasiyat (Vic)Kelvin TomsonALP72.64
Gellibrand (Vik)Nikola RoksonALP73.90
MUSTAQIL O'RINLAR - Hukumatni qo'llab-quvvatlashga bag'ishlangan ishonch va ta'minot
Melburn (Vik)Adam BandtGRN56.04 v ALP
Denison (Tas)Endryu UilkiIND51.21 v ALP
Layn (NSW)Rob OkeshotIND62.73 v NAT
Yangi Angliya (NSW)Toni VindzorIND71.52 v NAT
Hukumatga tegishli bo'lmagan o'rindiqlar
Marginal
Xaslak (VA)Ken VaytLIB50.57
Boothby (SA)Endryu SautkottLIB50.75
Dunkli (Vik)Bryus BillsonLIB51.02
Brisben (Qld)Tereza GambaroLNP51.13
Macquarie (NSW)Luiza MarkusLIB51.26
Ford (Qld)Bert van ManenLNP51.63
Sulaymon (NT)Natasha GriggsCLP51.75
Aston (Vik)Alan TudjLIB51.76
Longman (Qld)Vayt RoyLNP51.92
Gerbert (Qld)Even JonsLNP52.17
Konserva (WA)Don RandallLIB52.19
Douson (Qld)Jorj KristensenLNP52.43
Oqqush (WA)Stiv IronsLIB52.53
Bonner (Qld)Ross VastaLNP52.82
Makartur (NSW)Rassel MathesonLIB53.02
Bennelong (NSW)Jon AleksandrLIB53.12
Shturt (SA)Kristofer PeynLIB53.43
Flinn (Qld)Ken O'DowdLNP53.58
Fisher (Qld)Piter terlikLNP54.13
Keysi (Vik)Toni SmitLIB54.18
McMillan (Vik)Rassel BroadbentLIB54.41
Leyxardt (Qld)Uorren EntschLNP54.55
Dikson (Qld)Piter DuttonLNP55.13
Xyuz (NSW)Kreyg KelliLIB55.17
Gilmor (NSW)Joanna GashLIB55.32
Paterson (NSW)Bob BolduinLIB55.33
Stirling (WA)Maykl KinanLIB55.55
Juda xavfsiz
Kovan (VA)Luqo SimpkinsLIB56.29
Goldshteyn (Vik)Endryu RobbLIB56.47
Xiggins (Vik)Kelly O'DwyerLIB56.75
Fairfax (Qld)Aleks SomlyayLNP56.95
Rayan (Qld)Jeyn PrentisLNP57.16
Vannon (Vik)Dan TehanLIB57.29
Mayo (SA)Jeymi BriggsLIB57.35
Kooyong (Vik)Josh FraydenbergLIB57.55
Menzies (Vik)Kevin EndryusLIB58.72
Xyum (NSW)Albi ShultzLIB58.72
Forrest (VA)Nola MarinoLIB58.74
Pirs (VA)Judi MoylanLIB58.86
Flinders (Vik)Greg XantLIB59.11
Kovper (NSW)Lyuk XarsuykerNAT59.27
Indi (Vik)Sofi MirabellaLIB59.94
Xavfsiz
Rayt (Qld)Scott BuchholzLNP60.15
McPherson (Qld)Karen EndryusLNP60.28
Xinkler (Qld)Pol NevillLNP60.39
Bowman (Qld)Endryu LamingLNP60.39
Ish haqi (NSW)Jon KobbNAT60.74
Kulrang (SA)Rowan RamseyLIB61.16
Mur (VA)Mal yuvish vositasiLIB61.19
Gippsland (Vik)Darren ChesterNAT61.45
Tangni (VA)Dennis JensenLIB62.32
Kuk (NSW)Skott MorrisonLIB62.66
Barker (SA)Patrik SekkerLIB62.88
Warringah (NSW)Toni EbbotLIB63.09
Durak (VA)Barri XaseLIB63.67
Shimoliy Sidney (NSW)Djo XokkeyLIB64.06
Fadden (Qld)Styuart RobertLNP64.19
Farrer (NSW)Sussan LeyLIB64.51
Ventuort (NSW)Malkolm TernbullLIB64.86
Keng Bay (Qld)Uorren TrussLNP65.61
Makkellar (NSW)Bronvin BishopiLIB65.72
Kurtin (VA)Julie BishopLIB66.19
Berovra (NSW)Filipp RudkLIB66.20
Mitchell (NSW)Aleks XokLIB67.16
Monkrieff (Qld)Stiven CioboLNP67.49
Riverina (NSW)Maykl MakkormakNAT68.17
Bredfild (NSW)Pol FletcherLIB68.18
Kuyov (Qld)Yan MakfarlanLNP68.53
Parkes (NSW)Mark KultonNAT68.86
Juda xavfsiz
Myurrey (Vik)Sharman StounLIB70.35
Maranoa (Qld)Bryus SkottLNP72.89
Malli (Vik)Jon ForrestNAT74.41
MUSTAQIL O'RINLAR
O'Konnor (VA)Toni KrokNWA53.56 v LIB
Kennedi (Qld)Bob KaterIND68.34 v LNP

Adabiyotlar

  1. ^ Bo'lim tomonidan tanlangan ikkita nomzod: AEC
  2. ^ Saylov matritsasi: APH Arxivlandi 2008-02-20 da Orqaga qaytish mashinasi

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